 |
 Metroid Prime Trilogy Collectors Edition Case Manual Inserts ONLY Nintendo Wii $29.95 Time Remaining: 26d 11h 41m Buy It Now for only: $29.95 |
 Rare SNES Super Nintendo Super Mario RPG Legend of the 7 Stars Cartridge Only $38.00 (14 Bids) Time Remaining: 6h 38m |
 Rare Nintendo N64 Mario Party 3 Cartridge Only $15.00 (8 Bids) Time Remaining: 6h 37m |
 DDR DANCE DANCE REVOLUTION GAME ONLY Nintendo Wii Works with Wii Fit NEW $7.24 Time Remaining: 20d 18h 33m Buy It Now for only: $7.24 |
 Rare SNES Super Nintendo Contra 3 III Alien Wars Cartridge Only $18.01 (9 Bids) Time Remaining: 6h 37m |
 CONTRA III THE ALIEN WARS snes replacement BOX ONLY super nintendo NO CART $19.99 Time Remaining: 29d 15h 53m Buy It Now for only: $19.99 |
 Rare SNES Super Nintendo TMNT Turtles in Time Cartridge Only $29.67 (16 Bids) Time Remaining: 6h 38m |
 Rare NES Nintendo River City Ransom Cartridge Only $20.50 (7 Bids) Time Remaining: 6h 37m |
 NEW WII GLEE Karaoke Revolution Glee NINTENDO Wii VIDEO GAME ONLY FREE SHIPPING $6.95 Time Remaining: 20d 13h 18m Buy It Now for only: $6.95 |
 Mega Man X Super Nintendo Game SNES FUN Cartridge ONLY $11.11 (2 Bids) Time Remaining: 15h 55m |
 SCURGE NINTENDO DS CARTRIDGE ONLY TESTED $6.95 Time Remaining: 29d 11h 36m Buy It Now for only: $6.95 |
 SKYLANDERS SPYROS ADVENTURE NINTENDO Wii GAME ONLY $4.25 (4 Bids) Time Remaining: 15h 14m |
 Super Metroid Super Nintendo 1994SNES Cartridge Only No Reserve $6.50 (4 Bids) Time Remaining: 1d 14h 55m |
 Super Mario 64 Nintendo DS 2004 Cartridge Only Tested Works Great $13.99 Time Remaining: 6d 6h 3m Buy It Now for only: $13.99 |
 Used Mega Man Soccer Game Only for SNES Super Nintendo RARE $6.61 (4 Bids) Time Remaining: 11h 9m |
 SUPER PUNCH OUT Game Cartridge Only Super Nintendo SNES 1994 TESTED RARE $20.95 Time Remaining: 29d 3h 25m Buy It Now for only: $20.95 |
 Rare NES Nintendo GI Joe Real American Hero Cartridge Only $21.04 (4 Bids) Time Remaining: 6h 37m |
 NINTENDO Game Boy Color ONLY Cross Hunter X Hunter Ver from japan gb $0.99 Time Remaining: 1h 30m |
 NINTENDO WII PLAY GAME ONLY 9 GAMES IN 1 BRAND NEW $3.95 Time Remaining: 26d 7h 6m Buy It Now for only: $3.95 |
 Yoshis Cookie NES GAME ONLY Nintendo 1993 $3.00 (1 Bid) Time Remaining: 18h 59m |
 Super Dodge Ball Nintendo 1989 Game Only $10.99 Time Remaining: 28d 23h 7m Buy It Now for only: $10.99 |
 EVO Search for Eden Super Nintendo 1995 MANUAL ONLY $12.70 (5 Bids) Time Remaining: 1d 5h 35m |
 Tales of Symphonia Nintendo GameCube 2004 discs only $1.34 (2 Bids) Time Remaining: 1d 10h 23m |
 Shadow of the Ninja Nintendo 1991 Game Only $13.99 Time Remaining: 28d 23h 10m Buy It Now for only: $13.99 |
 Captain Commando BOX ONLY Super Famicom SFC SNES Super Nintendo $14.95 Time Remaining: 1h 35m Buy It Now for only: $19.95 |
 Bubble Bobble Nintendo 1988 Game Only $12.99 Time Remaining: 28d 22h 57m Buy It Now for only: $12.99 |
 Ninja Gaiden Trilogy SNES Edition Super Nintendo 1995 cart only near mint $61.00 (9 Bids) Time Remaining: 4d 11h 53m |
 River City Ransom Cartridge Only Nintendo 1989 No Reserve $7.27 (5 Bids) Time Remaining: 17h 26m |
 Skylanders Spyros Adventure Nintendo 3DS Game ONLY NEW $12.98 Time Remaining: 19d 11h 18m Buy It Now for only: $12.98 |
 Legend of the Mystical Ninja Super Nintendo 1992 SNES Cartridge Only $0.99 (1 Bid) Time Remaining: 1d 14h 55m |
 Dogz Nintendo Game Boy Advance 2005 VIRTUAL PET SIMULATION Game Only $5.99 Time Remaining: 29d 6h 47m Buy It Now for only: $5.99 |
 1989 CAPCOM Duck Tales Nintendo NES video game box only mint $16.00 (5 Bids) Time Remaining: 2d 15h 10m |
 The Legend of Zelda Ocarina of Time Nintendo 64 1998 Cartridge only $0.99 Time Remaining: 1d 14h 55m |
 NINTENDO WII GAME DANCE DANCE REVOLUTION DDR HOTTEST PARTY 2 GAME ONLY NEW $39.99 Time Remaining: 5d 15h 47m Buy It Now for only: $39.99 |
 Pokemon Soul Silver Version Nintendo Game Boy DS 2010 Great Condition Game Only $10.50 (11 Bids) Time Remaining: 2d 16h 21m |
 NEW WII Dance Dance Revolution Nintendo Wii DDR VIDEO GAME ONLY FREE SHIPPING $7.25 Time Remaining: 20d 9h 26m Buy It Now for only: $7.25 |
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 Pokemon HeartGold Version Nintendo Game Boy DS 2010 Great Condition Game Only $8.00 (8 Bids) Time Remaining: 2d 16h 18m |
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 Mega Man 6 Nintendo NES Game Cartridge Only with Sleeve 1994 $10.50 (2 Bids) Time Remaining: 2d 9h 25m |
 Pokemon HeartGold Version Nintendo DS 2010 BEST DEAL ALWAYS GAME ONLY $12.50 (6 Bids) Time Remaining: 1d 15h 57m |
 Skate or Die Nintendo 1988 Game only Free Shipping $3.25 Time Remaining: 29d 10h 50m Buy It Now for only: $3.25 |
 International Superstar Soccer Super Nintendo Cart Only Konami Rare $0.99 (1 Bid) Time Remaining: 1d 9h 10m |
 Pokemon Yellow Special Pikachu Edition Nintendo Game Boy 1998 Game Only $24.69 Time Remaining: 29d 12h 29m Buy It Now for only: $24.69 |
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 Super Mario 3D Land Nintendo 3DS 2011 GAME ONLY $18.00 (3 Bids) Time Remaining: 12h 32m |
 Tiny Toon Adventures Buster Busts Loose Super Nintendo 1993 Game Only $5.99 Time Remaining: 29d 6m Buy It Now for only: $5.99 |
 Pokemon Diamond Version Nintendo DS works on 3DS as well Cart Only $6.00 (13 Bids) Time Remaining: 2d 13h 14m |
 Boogerman A Pick Flick Adventure Super Nintendo 1995 Game Only $22.99 Time Remaining: 29d 11m Buy It Now for only: $22.99 |
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 Pokemon Diamond Version Nintendo Game Boy DS 2007 Great Condition Game Only $4.20 (5 Bids) Time Remaining: 2d 16h 13m |
 Tetris Nintendo Game Boy 1989 Great Condition Game Only $4.99 Time Remaining: 27d 10h 40m Buy It Now for only: $4.99 |
 Super Mario Kart Super Nintendo 1992 Cartridge only $0.99 (1 Bid) Time Remaining: 1d 14h 55m |
 Diddy Kong Racing Game Cart Only TESTED WORKS Nintendo 64 FREE SHIP $9.88 Time Remaining: 28d 11h 22m Buy It Now for only: $9.88 |
 Nintendo DS My Chinese Coach Game Only No Case Free Shipping $2.99 (1 Bid) Time Remaining: 1d 16h 12m |
 Pokemon Rumble Blast Nintendo 3DS 2011 Cartridge only $17.51 (11 Bids) Time Remaining: 15h 38m |
 GREEN DAY ROCK BAND GAME ONLY NEW FACTORY SEALED NINTENDO Wii $10.75 Time Remaining: 23d 9h 20m Buy It Now for only: $10.75 |
 1994 SUPER BOMBERMAN 2 Super Nintendo SNES video game box only NM $0.99 Time Remaining: 3d 10h 13m |
 Excitebike Nintendo 1985 Game and Box Only $14.99 Time Remaining: 28d 18h 46m Buy It Now for only: $14.99 |
 Mario Party 2 Nintendo 64 N64 2000 Cartridge Only CLEAN WORKS GREAT $5.50 (5 Bids) Time Remaining: 3d 16h 35m |
 1993 US GOLD Flashback Super Nintendo SNES video game box only mint $0.99 Time Remaining: 3d 14h 40m |
 Style Savvy Nintendo DS DSi Game Only $9.99 Time Remaining: 10d 9h 43m Buy It Now for only: $9.99 |
 1996 SUPER MARIO 64 Nintendo 64 video game box only near mint $0.99 (2 Bids) Time Remaining: 3d 10h 13m |
 World Cup 98 Nintendo Game Boy Game Only $4.74 Time Remaining: 29d 12h 43m Buy It Now for only: $4.74 |
 Mario Party Nintendo 64 N64 1999 Cartridge Only CLEAN WORKS GREAT $4.25 (6 Bids) Time Remaining: 3d 16h 36m |
 Mario Party 7 game only Nintendo GameCube 2005 BUY MEE $6.50 (3 Bids) Time Remaining: 2d 12h 31m |
 Shadowrun Super Nintendo 1993 Box only Empty Box $25.00 Time Remaining: 28d 11h Buy It Now for only: $25.00 |
 Mario And Luigi Partners In Time Nintendo DS 2005 DISC ONLY $6.01 (3 Bids) Time Remaining: 1d 8h 34m |
 Nintendo NES Tecmo Super Bowl Cartridge Only Video Game $9.99 Time Remaining: 28d 10h 55m Buy It Now for only: $9.99 |
 The Legend of Zelda Collectors Edition Nintendo GameCube 2003 DISC ONLY $0.99 (1 Bid) Time Remaining: 4d 7h 23m |
 1993 INTERPLAY Lost Vikings Super Nintendo SNES video game box only mint $0.99 (1 Bid) Time Remaining: 3d 14h 40m |
 Pokemon Crystal Version Nintendo Game Boy Color 2001 Cart Only FREE SHIPPING $27.99 Time Remaining: 29d 11h 57m Buy It Now for only: $27.99 |
 Super Bomberman 2 Super Nintendo Snes 1994 Game Cartridge Only No Reserve $4.75 (8 Bids) Time Remaining: 3d 14h 4m |
 WALL E Nintendo DS Game Game Only $7.18 Time Remaining: 21d 12h Buy It Now for only: $7.18 |
 Secret of Evermore Cartridge Only Classic RPG Made for Super Nintendo SNES $10.00 Time Remaining: 12h 33m Buy It Now for only: $20.00 |
 Monster Trucks Nintendo Game Boy Advance 2004 Certridge only Guaranteed Work $0.99 Time Remaining: 3d 13h 10m |
 Fantasy Aquarium Nintendo DS Game Game Only $5.55 Time Remaining: 13d 9h 49m Buy It Now for only: $5.55 |
 Mario Kart Wii GAME ONLY NO WHEEL Nintendo Wii Game $0.99 (2 Bids) Time Remaining: 4d 16h 5m |
 Survival Kids Nintendo Game Boy Color 1999 cart only $24.95 Time Remaining: 17d 10h 8m Buy It Now for only: $24.95 |
 Donkey Kong 64 Nintendo 64 1999 CART ONLY Tested Working $4.75 (8 Bids) Time Remaining: 1d 14h 55m |
 1992 PRINCE OF PERSIA Super Nintendo SNES video game box only NM $0.99 (1 Bid) Time Remaining: 2d 15h 10m |
 MARIO KART for Super Nintendo SNES No Case Cartridge Only $16.99 Time Remaining: 29d 17h 27m Buy It Now for only: $16.99 |
 Pokemon Platinum Version Nintendo Game Boy DS 2009 Great Condition Game Only $11.49 (11 Bids) Time Remaining: 2d 16h 9m |
 Romance of the Three Kingdoms Nintendo 1989 Game Only $9.99 Time Remaining: 28d 22h 59m Buy It Now for only: $9.99 |
 Road Rash 64 Nintendo 64 1999 cartridge only $5.06 (5 Bids) Time Remaining: 1d 11h 38m |
 1992 ATLUS Super Valis IV Nintendo SNES video game box only NM $0.99 Time Remaining: 3d 14h 40m |
 Donkey Kong Classics Nintendo 1988 NES game only $8.99 Time Remaining: 3d 12h 57m Buy It Now for only: $8.99 |
 Crash N The Boyz Street Challenge Nintendo Game Only $1.29 (2 Bids) Time Remaining: 2d 9h |
 Pokemon Diamond Version Nintendo DS DSi Used game Cart only $16.00 Time Remaining: 28d 12h 30m Buy It Now for only: $16.00 |
 Pokemon Black Version Nintendo DS 2011 GAME ONLY $20.01 (9 Bids) Time Remaining: 12h 3m |
 Nintendo GameCube Mario Kart Double Dash Game Only $4.79 (5 Bids) Time Remaining: 3d 15h 19m |
 The Ren Stimpy Show Buckeroo Super Nintendo 1993 Game Only $39.99 Time Remaining: 29d 3m Buy It Now for only: $39.99 |
 Super Mario All Stars Super Nintendo Snes 1993 Game Cartridge Only $1.75 (3 Bids) Time Remaining: 3d 14h 1m |
 COP The Recruit Nintendo DS 2009 GAME ONLY $4.25 Time Remaining: 8h 38m Buy It Now for only: $4.25 |
 Rare SNES Super Nintendo Legend of Zelda Link to the Past Cartridge Only $13.50 (5 Bids) Time Remaining: 6h 37m |
 Donkey Kong 64 Nintendo 64 N64 1999 Cartridge Only CLEAN WORKS GREAT $0.99 (1 Bid) Time Remaining: 3d 16h 37m |
 Pokemon Soulsilver + HeartGold Version Nintendo DS LOT Carts Only $49.95 Time Remaining: 29d 16h 46m Buy It Now for only: $49.95 |
 1993 ENIX The 7th Saga Nintendo SNES video game box only NM $0.99 (1 Bid) Time Remaining: 4d 14h 42m |
Only Nintendo
An Analysis Of Nintendo (NTDOY)
Even before last week's announcement from Sony (SNE), it seemed nearly certain that company's dominance in the PlayStation 2 generation of video game consoles would give way to a much more level playing field for the PS3 generation. This time around, Sony faces much stiffer competition from both Microsoft (MSFT) and Nintendo (NTDOY).
While the Nintendo name is most closely associated with a video game platform (the NES), the company's real focus has always been the games rather than the platform. Herein lies the true distinction between Nintendo and its two larger rivals. Nintendo seeks to make good games. Microsoft and Sony seek to control a distribution channel.
Nintendo is the only company among the three console makers that began life as an entertainment company - and it shows. Microsoft is known for software; Sony is known for hardware; and Nintendo is known for games.
American gamers are well acquainted with the Nintendo brand; but, American investors generally know very little about the company. That's unfortunate, because despite all the attention given to Sony and Microsoft's video game operations, Nintendo is the ultimate pure play video game company.
Nintendo is big. The company surpasses U.S. video game publishing giant Electronic Arts (ERTS) in sales, earnings, and market cap. On the last count, some may argue that Nintendo only has a larger market cap than EA, because its stock price has risen sharply over the past year, while EA's share price has actually declined. However, there's a much simpler explanation.
Nintendo has a larger market cap than Electronic Arts, because Nintendo (the business) is worth more than EA (the business). The run-up in Nintendo's stock price may be entirely due to improved investor perceptions of the company's future prospects as a result of the good press surrounding Nintendo's soon to be launched console, the Nintendo Wii.
Regardless, such an increase in the price of Nintendo's shares was justified by the rather low value the market had previously placed on Nintendo's business. The same can't be said of Electronic Arts. Even after underperforming the S&P 500 over the last three years, EA's stock price remains at levels that are nearly impossible to justify using any form of rational thought. So, Nintendo really is the world's largest pure play video game company.
Nintendo is an interesting business to write about from an investor's perspective for several reasons. The company operates in an exciting industry with excellent long-term prospects. It's more reasonably priced than many public companies in that industry (although that's not saying much). It's a truly unique business (with a unique past), and it has a clear vision of what it is and what it isn't. Obviously, Nintendo's tremendous intellectual properties add to its appeal both as a subject of an article and as the object of an investor's interest.
Nintendo has been a good steward of its intellectual properties. It's been very careful to protect the image of its most beloved characters. In fact, some would say the company has occasionally been too protective of its strongest franchises.
For instance, between 1994 and 2002 there were no new Metroid games, despite the popularity of that franchise. The benefit of such a strategy is that when Metroid Prime was released in 2002, it received extraordinary reviews and sold over a million units. The downside to this approach is obvious. Nintendo effectively surrendered the revenue (almost certainly more than $100 million) that could have been milked from the franchise throughout the latter half of the 1990s.
Nintendo is one of only a few businesses in this position. It's a rare and valuable property that can benefit from spending some time "in the vault". Nintendo has several such properties. For this reason, Nintendo has more in common with companies like Disney (DIS) and Lucasfilm than it does with manufacturers of consumer electronics.
Nintendo is an entertainment company; not an electronics company. Console sales are inextricably intertwined with games sales. Hardware sales account for a large portion of Nintendo's total sales; however, hardware sales don't drive a large portion of Nintendo's total sales. At Nintendo, the games sell the consoles. Of course, the console itself can affect the gameplay experience in its role as a platform. For instance, the console itself is expected to be a differentiating gameplay factor when the Wii launches later this year. Whether it's a positive or negative factor, we don't know. But, the Wii itself will certainly help differentiate Nintendo's games from their competition.
Third party publisher support for the Wii has been the subject of much debate and speculation. Nintendo's consoles have enjoyed less support from third parties than the competing consoles, because Nintendo has been less willing to work with third parties on their terms.
While many publishers are now interested in releasing titles for the Wii, there is a new and substantial impediment to successful third party titles. Games will have to be designed around the Wii. In the past, it was easier for third parties to offer titles for Nintendo's consoles, without targeting that console in particular. Now, it will be a lot harder to do that. Expect a few botched attempts early on.
A Long, Slow Decline
Nintendo's position in hardware has been declining for well over a decade now. In fact, the zenith of Nintendo's fortunes in the console business was the NES itself (launched in 1985). It's been downhill since then. Nintendo launched the Nintendo Entertainment System (NES) in 1985, the Super Nintendo Entertainment System (SNES) in 1991, the Nintendo 64 (N64) in 1996, and the GameCube in 2001.
Here are the worldwide unit sales for these four systems as of March 31st of this year:
NES: 61.9 million
SNES: 49.1 million
N64: 32.9 million
GameCube: 20.9 million
That's not a pretty trend. To add injury to injury, the number of games sold per console had been steadily declining until the GameCube dramatically reversed that trend.
Here are the number of games sold per console for each of the four systems:
NES: 8.08 games
SNES: 7.72 games
N64: 6.84 games
GameCube: 9.05 games
GameCube
The above GameCube number is especially interesting, because sales of GameCube games in the Americas has been extraordinarily strong considering its modest installed base relative to what previous Nintendo consoles had enjoyed.
The GameCube has performed much better in the U.S. than it has elsewhere. The Americas account for 58.37% of worldwide GameCube unit sales while Japan accounts for merely 19.14% of worldwide sales. In the Americas, the number of games sold per GameCube is approximately 10; while in Japan it is only 7.
While a difference of 10 games per system to 7 games per system may not sound that important, it is a far greater difference in the number of games sold per system between geographic regions than exists with any other current Nintendo platform. As a result, the Americas account for nearly two out of every three games sold for the GameCube.
Nintendo DS
At first, it appears the situation is reversed with the Nintendo DS. Japan accounts for more than 4 out of every 10 sales of both DS games and the handheld platform itself. However, at the beginning of this year, the ratio of software to hardware sales was still a bit higher in the Americas than it was in Japan. That's the case for all of Nintendo's platforms, although the games per platform gap varies from very wide (GameCube) to quite narrow (DS).
Game Boy Advance
Nintendo's Game Boy sales have always been pretty impressive. The Game Boy Advance, which launched in 2001, has sold more than 75 million units and more than 325 million games. That doesn't include sales of the various Game Boys of the 20th century (the original launched in 1989) which have sold well over 100 million units and 500 million games.
The Game Boy has helped Nintendo's financial results, because it has been a much more consistent performer. Taking part in the "console wars" is expensive, time-consuming, and risky. The risks are incurred upfront; the rewards come on the back half of the journey. Having the support of regular revenues derived from the Game Boy certainly doesn't hurt when you're involved in such an uncertain undertaking as launching a new console every half decade or so.
Financial Performance
Considering the industry it operates in, Nintendo has been a solid performer. The company consistently turns a profit, which isn't easy when there aren't other divisions to smooth out any of the bumps brought on by launching new consoles and essentially launching new products constantly.
After all, that is the greatest difference between the video game business and almost every other business around. All your sales are coming from "new" products, even if they are variations on the same theme or sequels within an established franchise. The lifecycle of each product is unnervingly similar to the lifecycle of a fruit fly.
So, the business depends upon doing an adequate job a great many times. As a general rule, businesses where you only have to do one really smart thing every couple of decades are better bets.
Conclusion
Apparently, most Japanese gamers now believe the Nintendo Wii will come out on top in this round of the console wars. That's a surprising and somewhat disturbing finding. If the Wii really is a revolution in the making, I suppose they'll be right. But, I still think this is Sony's race to lose.
What will the price of a PS3 be in December of 2007? Until I know that, I can't predict anything other than a much tighter race this time around.
What about Nintendo as an investment? The stock isn't expensive, if you expect it to win the next round of the console wars. Otherwise, it's difficult to value. There are two big issues: the Wii and handheld gaming.
I'm not convinced there are going to be serious competitive threats to Nintendo's position in handheld gaming coming from high-tech cell phones that are quickly becoming the Swiss Army Knife of the 21st century. I just don't think the three great obstacles of clumsy controls, a lack of focus from the manufacturer, and a lack of interest from the user are going to be easy to overcome. Nintendo is in the best position of any company to profit from handheld gaming in the future. They will face competition; but, they will start with the advantage of knowing what their product is (a game machine).
So, if you are comfortable with Nintendo's position in handheld gaming and you truly believe in both the company and the Wii, it would be a reasonable long-term investment at this price. However, even considering the large amount of cash and securities on the balance sheet relative to Nintendo's market cap, it isn't a "value" style purchase based on past performance alone. Buying shares at the current price is a bet on a brighter future.
While I like Nintendo's prospects at the moment, it's usually safer to bet against the revolution. So, I'd have to say Nintendo is a very interesting business that's priced a bit too high to be a very interesting investment.
About the Author
Geoff Gannon writes a daily value investing blog and produces a twice weekly (half hour) value investing podcast at Gannon on Investing.
Why is Nintendo the only company that can make a console without any bug?
When the 360 came out it had a problem with overheating. When the PS2 came out it had the disc read errors. Now the PS3 has many bugs in it. On the otherhand The Nintendo had no bugs when it came out with the N64, gamecube, or the wii.
Cause they just make the games and not the dvd and cd drive extras and its just the best system there is on the market .
GoldenEye 007 (Nintendo Wii) - Multiplayer - Melee Only (Slappers Only)